Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68%
Prévisionnistes
46
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
10 mars 24, 10:57 UTC3 nov. 26, 09:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump wins, will there be more sanctuary cities in the USA when the Midterm elections end?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an attempt of a radical cognitive enhancement program with clinical trials on humans by January 1, 2030?
Manifold MarketsFed Decision in October?
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KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRègles
A public and active attempt.
- Plans which are interrupted before the actual assassination attempt do not count.
- The attempt may not be made by a state actor