Will Trump pardon Maduro?
One-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueÉlectionCriminalité et justiceAmérique latinePolitique3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 61.6%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard3 janv. 26, 14:15 UTC4 janv. 30, 14:15 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to capital punishment by US courts
Manifold MarketsMaduro back in power before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Nicolas Maduro be prosecuted and sentenced to life in prison before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Nicolás Maduro or commute his sentence in 2026?
PredictItMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- The Trump Administration has called Maduro's government "illegitimate" and accused the Venezuelan President of being a "narco-terrorist".
- This market resolves YES if Trump grants Maduro a pardon before leaving office.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the White House or Trump's social media accounts.
- The market resolves NO if Trump's presidency ends without such a pardon being issued.
- Trump has taken very different approaches in his relationships with the two men—threatening to deploy military force in an escalating pressure campaign against one, while offering the other clemency, referring to Maduro and former Honduran President Hernández respectively.
