On January 1st 2027, will I think Dulce Consuelo Diaz Morales is obviously a US citizen?
One-OffPolitique américaineSociété et culture2moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 62.6%
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Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète13 févr. 26, 23:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
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DHS had detained Diaz Morales, who claims to be a US citizen; their official statement is that she is Mexican with no legal status in the US.
- As of the time of writing, she is temporarily released with an ankle monitor and check-ins with ICE.
- [tweet]https://www.newsweek.com/ice-detains-maryland-woman-us-citizen-claims-dhs-denies-11257159
- Resolves YES if I think she is obviously a US citizen on January 1st 2027.
- Update 2026-02-14 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator clarifies that the resolution standard is whether they think it's "obviously" a US citizen - a higher standard than just thinking it's true.
- The creator acknowledges this is a subjective judgment that may be difficult for traders to verify or predict, and that they could potentially weigh evidence wrongly at resolution time.
