If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
One-OffPolitique américaine2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.7%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 25, 04:10 UTC15 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Resolves N/A if no U.S. citizens are deported before 2029 (however, see below).
- Resolves YES if any U.S. citizen is deported before 2029, and they return to the U.S. in any capacity before 2029.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- I will apply the same caveats (e.g. involving denaturalization) as https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-the-us-deport-an-american-citi ; this market will resolve N/A if and only if that market resolves NO.
- To clarify — if more than one U.S. citizen is deported from the U.S. before 2029, this will resolve YES if at least one of them is returned before 2029, and no otherwise.
- I may trade in this market.