If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
One-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.7%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète15 avr. 25, 04:10 UTC15 janv. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves N/A if no U.S. citizens are deported before 2029 (however, see below).
- Resolves YES if any U.S. citizen is deported before 2029, and they return to the U.S. in any capacity before 2029.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- I will apply the same caveats (e.g. involving denaturalization) as https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-the-us-deport-an-american-citi ; this market will resolve N/A if and only if that market resolves NO.
- To clarify — if more than one U.S. citizen is deported from the U.S. before 2029, this will resolve YES if at least one of them is returned before 2029, and no otherwise.
- I may trade in this market.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029? doit être résolu le 15 janvier 2029.
- Comment If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves N/A if no U.S. citizens are deported before 2029 (however, see below).