Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 82%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète16 avr. 25, 19:11 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
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KalshiRègles
Resolution criteria:
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before December 31, 2028, at least one U.S. citizen is confirmed to have been detained in El Salvador's Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT).
- The person must have been a citizen at the time that they were detained; if they lost their citizenship then it does not count.
- The confirmation must come from credible news sources or official government statements.
- If no such detention is confirmed by the end of 2028, the market will resolve to "No."
- The Terrorism Confinement Center (CECOT) is a maximum-security prison in Tecoluca, El Salvador, inaugurated in January 2023.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 82% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment US citizen sent to CECOT before EOY 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria: