Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 64.2%
Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 janv. 26, 07:42 UTC8 janv. 27, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic stop deprecating models and make old ones available for access by the end of the year?
Manifold MarketsAI BUBBLE? Which AI companies will drop >60% from their peak in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI companies will have a Pareto efficient model at the end of 2026?
Kalshi6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.
Manifold MarketsWill I consider the "Big 3" AI companies to be different on 12/31?
Manifold MarketsUS Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.