Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionChinaCrime & JusticeUS Politics9moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.1%
Prévisionnistes
22
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète5 juil. 26, 03:01 UTC1 juil. 27, 03:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 5, 2026, and June 30, 2027, Elaine Chao is formally indicted, criminally charged, or officially announced as the subject of a new investigation by a United States federal agency (such as the Department of Justice, the Securities and Exchange Commission, or the Federal Election Commission) or a congressional committee.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Any official investigation, indictment, or charges must be verified by a reliable, mainstream news source (e.g., AP News, Reuters, or The New York Times) or a direct publication from a U.S. government agency.
- On June 14, 2026, Senator Mitch McConnell was hospitalized after emergency responders performed CPR following a cardiac arrest at his home.
- Just three days later, on June 17, 2026, his wife, former Transportation Secretary Elaine Chao, traveled to Beijing to meet with Chinese Vice President Han Zheng to discuss U.S.-China bilateral cooperation.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 94% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? doit être résolu le 1 juillet 2027.
- Comment Is Mitch McConnell wife (Elaine Chao) up to no good? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria