Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 92.7%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète1 août 23, 08:42 UTC31 déc. 43, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza, Palestine?
Manifold MarketsWill the International Court of Justice (ICJ) determine that Israel committed genocide in Gaza?
Manifold MarketsBy when will Wikipedia stop considering Gaza a genocide?
Manifold MarketsZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
PolymarketZimbabwe vs South Africa
KalshiRègles
I've occasionally seen some nazi-adjacent people express concerns about the racial situation in South Africa.
- This includes sharing a documentary where some white farmers were being attacked, and more recently, sharing a video of the third-largest South African political party singing that people should kill the whites.
- However, I know nothing about South African politics and very little about South African history, so for all I know, this might be taken out of context.
- This is what the mainstream media claims, with the white farmers getting attacked apparently employing black people who also get attacked, and the song about killing white people being some traditional song that came up in the context of apartheid.
- Resolution criteria
- If by the end of 2043, an unambiguous sign of serious attempted white genocide is observed, this market resolves YES.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 93% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2043.
- Comment Is a potential white genocide brewing in South Africa? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : I've occasionally seen some nazi-adjacent people express concerns about the racial situation in South Africa.