Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle2050-2059 16.7%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
1
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
9 juin 25, 01:07 UTC31 déc. 20, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
As a bloc, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN — Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam) already forms one of the world’s largest collective economies.
- According to the 2025 IMF World Economic Outlook, ASEAN’s combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is roughly US $13 trillion, versus US $30.5 trillion for the United States — a little over 40 % of U.S. size today.
- Continued rapid growth in populous members such as Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, together with steady expansion in services and high-tech hubs like Singapore and Malaysia, leads many forecasters to ask when the region might finally match the U.S. in PPP terms.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to the first calendar year in which ASEAN’s combined GDP at Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) is at least 1.00 times (≥ 100 %) the GDP (PPP) of the United States, based on the following rules:
- Primary data source — Use the April or October release of the IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO) for the relevant year.
