In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 52.6%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète4 janv. 26, 14:54 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiRègles
Example: https://aphyr.com/posts/342-typing-the-technical-interview
- The market creator considers the above some of the finest writing on the Internet.
- This market is intended to be an early proxy for "Can AI write great blogposts", since these posts are only funny to people deeply invested in writing code, and the LLMs are nowadays disproportionately trained on software engineering tasks.
- Resolves YES if the market creator ranks a provided AI-generated attempt better than the average "X-ing the technical interview" piece.
- Only a single post will be read for the purposes of resolving this market.
- If no one provides a fully AI generated post in the style of aphyr.com deemed to be a genuine attempt , the market creator will query a single LLM chatbot with a high thinking budget (say GPT 5.2 xhigh) with the market description and read the output.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 102,1 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,4 k €
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 53% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post? sera-t-il résolu ?
- In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment In 2027, will AI be able to generate a good "X-ing the technical interview" aphyr.com post? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Example: https://aphyr.com/posts/342-typing-the-technical-interview