If someone commits anti-AI-xrisk terrorism, will AI xrisk worries be generally marginalized afterwards?
IAOne-Off
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.1%
Prévisionnistes
99
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard19 avr. 23, 19:38 UTC31 déc. 98, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will AI xrisk seem to be handled seriously by the end of 2026?
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Manifold MarketsWill there be an anti-AI terrorist incident by 2028?
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Resolves only if someone kills an AI researcher, AI company founder, or similar, in order to protest AI development, create fear to scare people away from AI development, or similar.
- Resolves YES if afterwards, AI xrisk people are generally considered dangerous and struggle to get their message out.
- Since this is kind of vague and vibes-based, I will not bet.
- I may choose to resolve this market based on a poll of AI alignment researchers after the fact.
