If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading?
IAOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 50.5%
Prévisionnistes
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Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 36 minutes
24 avr. 26, 21:52 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If OpenAI goes public and releases their first financials before 2028, what will their net income margin be?
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PolymarketRègles
Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements.
- If after reading their financials I believe any ARR numbers they claimed seem suspicions or misleading.
- An example of a clear case that could show this would be if they claimed $20b ARR at the start of 2026 but their 2026 financials show only $15B of revenue.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Volume total
- 225,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 157 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 348,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 51% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading? sera-t-il résolu ?
- If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment If OpenAI goes public before 2028, will I consider their claimed ARR revenue figures to be misleading? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves if OpenAI goes public and releases their first financial statements.