[M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030?
One-OffHealth & Medicine3aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.8%
Prévisionnistes
118
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète20 juil. 23, 20:26 UTC1 janv. 30, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Conditional on Aella getting new cavities, will 10000+ people get Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks's cavity-curing bioengineered S. mutans (Lumina) turn out to have horrible downsides by 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Lantern Bioworks Lumina treatment be FDA Approved for preventing tooth decay by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsBumetanide considered effective in the treatment of genetic Alzheimer's by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketRègles
Lantern Bioworks is attempting to cure cavities via a treatment that modifies the oral microbiome; see this manifund proposal and this precondition market.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Austin/if-funded-will-lantern-bioworks-suc)If they achieve their bioengineering goal They have achieved their bioengineering goal.
- Will they be able to get "shots in arms" (or, uh, "bacteria in mouths") at a 10,000-person scale by 2030? (Participants treated in trials count.)
- It's not clear how public this information will be, though hopefully they'll be willing to share.
- Resolution may be delayed.
- If 6+ months after close it seems like we won't get a concrete answer, may resolve to % based on my credence that this has happened.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 68% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030? sera-t-il résolu ?
- [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2030.
- Comment [M5000 subsidy] Will 10,000+ people receive Lantern Bioworks' cavity prevention treatment by 2030? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Lantern Bioworks is attempting to cure cavities via a treatment that modifies the oral microbiome; see this manifund proposal and this precondition market.