Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Non 71%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète19 juil. 24, 07:54 UTC1 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene have a heart attack before the end of May 12th 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump die or become seriously ill before the end of his term?
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KalshiWill Donald Trump issue a public apology?
KalshiRègles
Donald Trump is a prime candidate for a heart attack: he is male, old, overweight, under a lot of stress (as president), and does not engage in serious cardio training.
- It must be reported in a credible manner by a major news outlet, according to my or a mod's judgment, not just as a rumor.
- However, it does not need to be confirmed by the White House.
- If Trump is not the elected president, this market will be resolved as N/A. If he is elected, this market will be renamed to "Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028?".
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 71% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Donald Trump have a heart attack before the end of 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Donald Trump is a prime candidate for a heart attack: he is male, old, overweight, under a lot of stress (as president), and does not engage in serious cardio training.