When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States?
3.3 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics2aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIn January 2029 74.8%+3.3ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
15
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+6.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
21 févr. 25, 14:17 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Donald Trump is currently in his second term as President of the United Staets.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve based on when Donald Trump ceases to be President of the United States:
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump's presidency ends before January 1, 2029 (e.g., is removed from office, or does not complete his second term)
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump completes a full second term ending somtime the named outcome (specifically January 20, 2029, when the next president is expected to be sworn in, though the question is open to anytime during the month of January 2029 in order to account for some possibility that the date of the inaguration changes)
- "the named outcome" resolves YES if Trump remains president beyond January 31, 2029
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States? ?
- Manifold Markets cote In January 2029 à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States? sera-t-il résolu ?
- When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment When will Donald Trump cease to be President of the United States? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Donald Trump is currently in his second term as President of the United Staets.