KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 81%
Qualité du marché
65 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,7 k €
Liquidité
13,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
14.0% / 19.0%
Écart
5.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
3 juin 26, 15:15 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many vetoes will Trump issue in 2026?
PredictItWill Trump issue a veto in 2026?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump issue an executive order from the federal government at any point past February 1 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump issue Elon Musk a Presidential Pardon while he is in office
Manifold MarketsHow many pardons and commutations will Trump issue from June 30 - July 4?
PredictItWho will Donald Trump meet in 2026?
KalshiRègles
If Donald Trump issues a public apology for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Donald Trump
- The apology must specifically reference the topic either directly by name/description or with clear contextual connection.
- Qualifying apologies include explicit statements using words like "apologize," "sorry," "regret," or "I was wrong" related specifically to the topic, public acknowledgment of fault or error, or retraction of previous statements coupled with expression of wrongdoing.
- The apology must be in a public forum (social media, press conference, interview, official statement).
- Conditional apologies ("I would be sorry if..."), sarcastic or clearly insincere statements, private apologies that are reported but not confirmed publicly, statements of regret without accepting responsibility, and clarifications without expressions of remorse do not qualify.
- If the person apologizes and then retracts before the deadline, the market still resolves to Yes based on the initial apology.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 81% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Donald Trump issue a public apology? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Donald Trump issues a public apology for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.