If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it?

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Manifold Markets cote Legislation/treaties à 37.3% au 31 octobre 2026.

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If an AI winter happens before 2030, what is the most likely reason for it? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2031.

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POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX-4.0pt54.5%
• Anthropic+2.8pt45.5%
• ByteDance0%

+9 résultats de plus

Volume total

6,4 M €

Volume 24h

297,5 k €

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+1.0pt54.5%
• Anthropic-1.5pt37.4%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-1.6pt51.5%
• Claude38.4%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+3.0pt30.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.6pt20.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-0.6pt17.6%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+4.0pt90%
• December 15,+3.5pt87%
• November 30,+1.5pt82%

+15 résultats de plus

KALSHI

Google market share this week

• Above 19.1%+1.0pt0.5%
• Above 17.3%0.5%
• Above 20.2%0.5%

• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Best AI this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1
• Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Nov 1, 2026