Prévision communautaire actuelle
At least 2 98.3%En tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
13
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 minutes
13 sept. 26, 04:13 UTC31 déc. 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of the following Millennium Prize Problems will be solved before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before EOY?
Manifold MarketsWill a new problem be added to the Millennium Prize Problems by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill all Millennium Prize problems by solved by the end of the century?
Manifold MarketsWhen will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved?
KalshiHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve based on the official status of the Millennium Prize Problems as determined by the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) on its official website: claymath.org/millennium-problems.
- Each option is independent and will resolve to YES if the cumulative number of officially solved Millennium Prize Problems (including the Poincaré conjecture) meets or exceeds the specified threshold by December 31, 2030, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- "Solved" means that someone either proves the statement or proves it false / comes up with a counterexample
- The options will resolve independently, so if 3 problems are solved, the "the named outcome" option will resolve to yes.
- Note: If more problems are added to the Millennium Prize Problems list, I will add more options.
- Background (written by AI)