Prévision communautaire actuelle
>= 5 78.3%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
2
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard16 juin 26, 20:55 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many orbital launches will there be in 2027?
Manifold MarketsTotal space launches in September
KalshiWill SpaceX conduct at least half of all successful orbital launches in 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
KalshiHow many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
KalshiRègles
There were 8 in 2025, and 3 so far in 2026.
Marchés ouverts
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1 k €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume total
- 57,4 k €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4 k €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume total
- 817,9 k €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote >= 5 à 78% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2028.
- Comment How many crewed orbital space launches will there be in 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : There were 8 in 2025, and 3 so far in 2026.