Prévision communautaire actuelle
Before March 2027 95.8%En tête parmi 10 options
Prévisionnistes
50
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète2 févr. 26, 19:36 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Gemini 3.8+ Flash (Google) release date
Manifold MarketsWhen will Google release Gemini 3.5 pro?
Manifold MarketsWill Google release a Pixel phone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Google release Gemini 4?
KalshiThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiPrison Break: New season release date
KalshiRègles
Minor changes to the name, such as 'Gemini 4.1', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Gemini 4.0, will count for the purpose of this market.
- The model must be accessible without individual vetting or invitation — free or paid, via API or product.
- Open, non-selective waitlists count.
- Closed betas, invite-only access, researcher programs, A/B tests, and anonymous benchmark appearances do not.
- Country-level bans do not prevent resolution.
- @LU5RqqqEuA (this market)
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date ?
- Manifold Markets cote Before March 2027 à 96% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date sera-t-il résolu ?
- Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Gemini 4.0 (Google) release date est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Minor changes to the name, such as 'Gemini 4.1', or other names for a model generally expected to be called Gemini 4.0, will count for the purpose of this market.