GDP in 2028 if a republican gets elected 2024? [Ṁ500 subsidized]
ÉconomieOne-OffPolitiquePolitique américaineÉlection2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOther 46.6%En tête parmi 5 options
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète27 sept. 23, 18:34 UTC1 janv. 29, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Règles
In 2024 a republican, like Donald Trump, might be elected (again) and should then be president until 2028, the next election.
- According to FRED, the US annual GDP in 2022 was 25 trillion USD (more precisely, 25462.722 billion USD).
- The average over the last ten years was an increase of 4.64% per year.
- Extrapolating that to 2028 results in 34 trillion USD.
- [image]Resolves to the rounded trillion dollar value FRED will eventually publish for GDPA 2028.
- Rounding mode is half up, so 25.49 rounds to 25 but 25.50 rounds to 26.
