First Round of Alaska Senate winner?
2.2 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20262j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleMary Peltola 97.8%+2.2ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+14.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
31 oct. 26, 20:51 UTC8 nov. 26, 10:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Manifold MarketsAP calls the Alaska Senate race by which date?
PolymarketWill Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.'s vote total exceed Peltola's winning margin in Alaska's Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AP call the Alaska Senate election?
KalshiAlaska Senate election: number of rounds
KalshiWill the Fake Dan Sullivan Effect the Results of the Alaska Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES to the first place finisher in the first round of the Alaska Senate election.
- Alaska uses ranked choice voting, and this resolves based on the first place finisher in round ONE, not the ultimate winner.