Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Conditional on regime change in Russia, will Putin be executed or assassinated before 2034? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 63% au 26 octobre 2026.

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Conditional on regime change in Russia, will Putin be executed or assassinated before 2034?

Russie / UkraineOne-Off7a

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Prévision communautaire actuelle

Non 63%

Prévisionnistes

Type de question

binary

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 22 heures

Obsolète

29 juin 23, 03:27 UTC1 janv. 34, 07:59 UTC

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Règles

Resolves N/A if there is no regime change in Russia by 2034.

Regime change is defined here as when any person who is not Putin or Putin's hand-picked successor becomes the head of state, by any means.

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Conditional on regime change in Russia, will Putin be executed or assassinated before 2034?

Conditional on regime change in Russia, will Putin be executed or assassinated before 2034?

Marchés ouverts

Will Russia target Kyiv on?

Putin out as President of Russia by which date?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

US imports Russian diesel by which date?

Questions fréquentes

Utilisez ce marché dans du code ou un agent IA

Marchés ouverts

Will Russia target Kyiv on?

Putin out as President of Russia by which date?

NATO x Russia military clash by which date?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by which date?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?

US imports Russian diesel by which date?