"Conditional AI pause" commitment triggers antitrust enforcement by EOY 2028?
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Données au 15 juil. 2026, 00:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleOpenAI 10%-40.0%En tête parmi 3 options
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multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Mis à jour il y a 11 jours
Obsolète14 juil. 26, 0:1731 déc. 28, 23:59
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OpenAI10%
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Resolves YES: IF {AI Company} makes a public commitment to a conditional pause of AI capabilities AND {AI Company} suffers antitrust repercussions as a consequence.
- Resolves N/A: IF no such commitment is made by {AI Company}.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
- Definitions:
- public: on the company website or official corporate social media accounts (eg CEO's twitter account doesn't qualify)
- conditional: commitment activates only when other companies also pause