Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 75%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète28 mai 25, 02:28 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever go to jail after being convicted of a crime?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI agent be directly convicted of a crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of manslaughter in 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if either Chungin Roy Lee or Neel Shanmugam are convicted of a crime in any jurisdiction before 2028.
Marchés ouverts
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Volume total
- 347,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 12,4 k €
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Volume total
- 9,8 M €
- Volume 24h
- 6,8 k €
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Volume total
- 498,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,1 k €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if either Chungin Roy Lee or Neel Shanmugam are convicted of a crime in any jurisdiction before 2028.