Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleIowa 15.8%-0.9ptEn tête parmi 21 options
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
25 sept. 26, 03:42 UTC3 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Closest Senate Race?
PolymarketWhich party will win the 2026 Kansas Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Nebraska Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Texas Senate race?
Manifold MarketsCloser Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?
KalshiCloser Senate Race: Florida or South Carolina?
KalshiRègles
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race/kxclosestsenate-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Resolves to the state that has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027