KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Texas 16.2%En tête parmi 17 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
59 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
16,4 k €
Liquidité
215,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
30 mai 26, 21:303 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Règles
If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official state or local election division websitesthe official electoral commissions or secretaries of state for each jurisdiction holding elections withinofficial government websites of the relevant jurisdictionsThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersBloomberg NewsCNNNBC NewsABC NewsCBS NewsFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoFiveThirtyEightBallotpedia
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Texas 17% · 3 plateformes · bande de 2 pt
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Closest Senate race in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Texas à 16% au 22 août 2026.
- Quand Closest Senate race in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Closest Senate race in 2026? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2027.
- Comment Closest Senate race in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Closest Senate race in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket, PredictIt.