Probabilité implicite actuelle
Ohio 12%En tête parmi 15 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2 k €
Liquidité
103,1 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
10.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
24 sept. 25, 14:003 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Ohio12%
Référence CoinRithmTexas14%· 2 plateformes· ±3 pts
New MexicoAlaskaGeorgia
POLYMARKET
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Closest Senate Race?
23.0%3mo
+13.5%30%
+8.5%26%
+2.9%24%
+13 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total6,5 k €
Volume 24h4,8 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
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If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.