Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?
6.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20261mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Texas US Senate · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Texas US Senate 57.5%
Texas US Senate 57.5%Qualité du marché
36 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
81,2 €
Intérêt ouvert
278,3 $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
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Texas US SenateÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
1 oct. 26, 19:00 UTC7 déc. 26, 15:00 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Texas US Senate
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?
PolymarketCloser Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas?
PolymarketCloser Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?
PolymarketCloser Senate Race: Montana or New Jersey?
PolymarketCloser Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?
KalshiCloser Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?
KalshiRègles
If Texas US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Dec 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. For ranked-choice elections, the margin is the final-round vote difference between the first- and second-place candidates (the first round if a candidate wins a majority outright) divided by total votes cast in that election, including ballots exhausted before the final round. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Texas US Senate
- If Texas US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Dec 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alaska US Senate
- If Alaska US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Alaska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Dec 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.