California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
0.2 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20261j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 98.5%+0.2ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
34
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète10 avr. 24, 17:56 UTC4 nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsCalifornia Governor Election Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election: Turnout
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 97%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 97%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 98%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 99%
