Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 96%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète10 avr. 24, 17:56 UTC4 nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.1%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Georgia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsNew York Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia Governor Election Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election: Fresno County Winner
PolymarketCalifornia Governor Election Margin of Victory
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Futuur — California governor election winner · Xavier Becerra 88%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — California Governor winner? · Xavier Becerra 96%
- Également disponible sur PredictIt — Who will win the 2026 election for governor of California? · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — California Governor Election Winner · Xavier Becerra 95%
- Également disponible sur Robinhood (Rothera) — 2026 California Governor Race · Democrat 93%
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.2pt36.5%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt29.2%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.5%
+38 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 114,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 M €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance+0.4pt51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt18%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro-4.7pt49.5%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+5.0pt48.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.8pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.4pt14%
+48 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+1.0pt16.7%
- Gavin Newsom14.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 185,9 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson-8.0pt71.6%
- Ulf Kristersson+9.0pt27.4%
- Ebba Busch+0.4pt1%
+7 résultats de plus
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- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
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- Iowa Senate winner?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic Party à 96% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Quand California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- Où California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Futuur, Kalshi, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).