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Données au 8 sept. 2026, 20:25 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
11M-11.5M 32%-9.5ptEn tête parmi 10 options
Qualité du marché
26 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
588,2 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
40.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-1.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
18 août 26, 14:08 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour California Governor Election: Turnout ?
- Polymarket cote 11M-11.5M à 32% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand California Governor Election: Turnout sera-t-il résolu ?
- California Governor Election: Turnout doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment California Governor Election: Turnout est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.