Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour California governor election winner ?

Futuur cote Xavier Becerra à 95% au 10 octobre 2026.

Quand California governor election winner sera-t-il résolu ?

California governor election winner doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.

La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets, Kalshi, PredictIt, Polymarket, Robinhood (Rothera).

FutuurVérifier la disponibilitéDonnées de résolution vérifiées

Probabilité implicite actuelle

Xavier Becerra 95%

En tête parmi 4 options

Qualité du marché

29 / 100

Faible qualité

Volume 24h

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Liquidité

2,5 k €

Liquidité moyenne

Traders

Commentaires

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Marchés Associés

Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.

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Règles

This event aims to predict which candidate will win the 2026 California gubernatorial election, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The market containing the corresponding winner of the election will resolve to “Yes”, while all others will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the election are not confirmed by January 31, 2027, all markets will be cancelled.
Resolution is based on reporting by the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC.
Once all three sources call the race for the same candidate, this event will be resolved.
If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, Futuur will rely on official vote certification to resolve the event.