KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleXavier Becerra 95%
Qualite du marche
80 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
154,4 €
Liquidité
530,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
95.1% / 95.4%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 minutes
10 janv. 25, 15:003 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Xavier Becerra95%
Comparer les plateformes· Xavier Becerra
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 95% | — | 154,4 € | 530,9 k € | il y a 16 minutes | |
 Manifold Markets80% de correspondance · vérifié | — | 95% | — | — | — | il y a 16 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
California Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
3mo
+1.1pt95%
-1.1pt4.9%
0.1%
Prévision communautaire29 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$2.2k93.7%KALSHIRepublican party — No-9 j
KALSHIRepublican party — No-9 j$1.3k93.7%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-10 j
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-10 j$1.5k95.0%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-10 j
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-10 j$2.4k94.4%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-11 j
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-11 j$1.4k94.8%KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-11 j
KALSHIDemocratic party — Yes-11 jTendance du volume
$1762 juil.27j de données28 juil.
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If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.