Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleDemocratic Party 84.5%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+1.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète10 avr. 24, 17:57 UTC4 nov. 26, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
0.5%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Georgia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMassachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsArizona Governor Election: Turnout
PolymarketArizona Governor Election Winner
PolymarketArizona Governor election winner
FutuurRègles
This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.
- In the case the race is called by the major news organizations, the market may resolve early.
- If a candidate switches party affiliations, the switch will not affect the outcome if it is after the beginning of Election Day, local time.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Arizona Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Democratic Party à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Arizona Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Arizona Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? doit être résolu le 4 novembre 2026.
- Comment Arizona Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to the party which won the state's gubernatorial election, as determined by the local, state, and ultimately federal governments.