Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
By end of 2050 36.4%En tête parmi 6 options
By end of 2050 36.4%Prévisionnistes
18
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 heures
Obsolète21 janv. 24, 03:30 UTC2 janv. 00, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
Manifold MarketsWill the COVID lab leak theory be proven by 2027?
Manifold MarketsIf Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic lab leak by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic lab leak by which date?
LimitlessRègles
Each option resolves YES if https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory resolves to either YES or NO by that date.
- Otherwise it resolves NO (if it didn't resolve before that date, or if it resolved to any value other than YES or NO).
- (In case the resolution status changes, then this question resolves based on the final resolution date)
