By when will 5% of Americans cite "advancement of computers/technology" as the US's biggest problem? (Gallup)
IA8aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleBy end of 2035 70.6%En tête parmi 11 options
Prévisionnistes
23
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète6 févr. 26, 09:31 UTC31 déc. 34, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria:
- This question resolves to the year in which the trailing four-month average reaches ≥5% of Americans giving answers classified as "advancement of computers/technology" to the question: What do you think is the most important problem facing the country today?
- Resolution is based on the monthly updated Gallup website.
- On this website, "-" means 0% and "*" means <0.5%.
- For the purpose of this question, we will interpret "*" as 0.25%.
- If a new category named "AI" or similar is added, we will either take the sum (if we determine there is no overlap in respondents) or the maximum (if we are unable to rule out overlap) between these categories.
