PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 89%+1.5pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
10.0% / 12.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
5
Variation 7j
-9.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
22 juil. 26, 23:31 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Max Miller out as US Rep by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Chuck Edwards leave the House before the midterms?
KalshiWill Chuck Edwards win the North Carolina 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill the House censure or reprimand Chuck Edwards in 2026?
PredictItTom Kean Jr. out as US Rep before term ends?
PolymarketWhat % of Americans will cite computers/technology as the US's top problem by Dec 31, 2026? (Gallup)
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chuck Edwards' departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
- The departure will be considered to be announced when Chuck Edwards, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Chuck Edwards has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from North Carolina's 11th Congressional District.
- Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position.
- Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
- The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume total
- 24,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7 k €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 291,3 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 89% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Chuck Edwards out as US Rep before December 31, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chuck Edwards' departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET.