Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51%
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète5 févr. 23, 22:33 UTC1 janv. 51, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2050, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsBy 2030, will there be a cure to aging?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2035?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/
- Then this market here resolves the same as this one: https://manifold.markets/DanielKilian/by-2050-will-there-be-a-cure-to-agi
- Otherwise, the market here resolves N/A.
