By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050?

Questions fréquentes

Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? ?

Manifold Markets cote No à 81% au 26 octobre 2026.

Quand By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? sera-t-il résolu ?

By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2051.

Comment By 2050, will there be a cure to aging conditional on no AGI by 2050? est-il réglé ?

Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : If the following metaculus market resolves positively before the end of 2050: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/5121/date-of-artificial-general-intelligence/

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POLYMARKET

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

• No98%
• Yes2%

Volume total

16,8 M €

Volume 24h

16,6 k €

POLYMARKET

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

• 20 to 34-10.4pt83%
• 35 to 49+6.6pt10%
• 50 or more-1.5pt1%

KALSHI

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

• No85.5%
• Yes+2.0pt14.5%

Volume total

378,9 k €

POLYMARKET

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

• ↑5k98%
• ↑4.75k-0.1pt97%
• ↑5.5k-0.1pt90%

+13 résultats de plus

Volume total

KALSHI

Measles cases in 2026?

• Above 500098.5%
• Above 6000-3.0pt76%
• Above 7000-1.0pt37.5%

POLYMARKET

Screwworm National Emergency declared by which date?

• December 3114%
• October 31-4.0pt1%

+2 résultats de plus

Volume total

12,5 k €

Volume 24h

1,5 k €

• Pandemic in 2026?
• Anthropic lab leak by which date?
• Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
• How many human H5N1 cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
• Next pandemic
• How many gonorrhea cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• Plague case in US by December 31?
• New pandemic before 2028?
• How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
• CVS Health (CVS) Q3 medical benefit ratio (MBR)?