Brazil 2026 Election: Will all third-way candidates stay below 10%?
PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionSportSoccerLatin America26jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 69%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète27 mai 26, 03:14 UTC4 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market resolves YES if at least one “third-way” candidate receives 10.0% or more of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, according to the official results published by Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court, the TSE.
- This market resolves NO if no “third-way” candidate receives 10.0% or more of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election.
- For the purposes of this market, a third-way candidate means any presidential candidate other than:
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva or the official presidential nominee of PT;
- Flávio Bolsonaro or the official presidential nominee of PL;
- Jair Bolsonaro;
