Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 63.8%
Prévisionnistes
92
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète8 janv. 26, 18:11 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:27 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen?
Manifold MarketsICE agent murdered on duty by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWas the ICE agent who shot Renee Nicole Good injured?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if an ICE agent kills an American citizen before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on verified news reports confirming the death of a U.S. citizen at the hands of an ICE agent.
- The victim must be confirmed as a U.S. citizen by credible sources (news organizations, government statements, or court documents).
- Accidental deaths unrelated to enforcement actions do not count.
- An ICE agent fatally shot a woman in Minneapolis on January 7, 2026, marking a significant escalation in immigration enforcement operations.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Before December 31, 2026, will an ICE agent kill another American citizen? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution Criteria