
Données au 9 sept. 2026, 14:45 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31?
Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by which date?
Peter Mandelson to face criminal charges in 2026?
Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew) to face criminal charges in 2026?
Règles
This market resolves to “Yes” if the Iranian government officially announces and begins collecting fees, tolls, charges, tariffs, or similar payments from commercial vessels which are mandatory for passage through or access to the Strait of Hormuz between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
A qualifying fee must be an announced policy which applies generally to all commercial vessels, or a defined subcategory of commercial vessels (e.g., vessels flagged to the US and its allies).
A fee is mandatory if, in practice, affected commercial vessels cannot transit or access the Strait of Hormuz without paying it, regardless of whether Iran characterizes the payment as voluntary or a fee for services.
Both of the following are required to occur prior to the specified date, 11:59 PM ET to satisfy this market’s resolution criteria:
1) An official announcement from the Iranian government that such a fee is being, or will be, implemented.
2) A consensus of credible reporting that collection of the fee has begun.
Fees charged by Oman, the United Arab Emirates, shipping insurers, private companies, or other non-Iranian entities do not qualify unless charged jointly with Iran, or if Iran directly receives the fee or controls the charging entity.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of Iran and consensus of credible reporting.
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