KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
4.59% or above 99%En tête parmi 15 options
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
86,5 €
Liquidité
777,9 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
4 sept. 26, 19:30 UTC11 sept. 26, 19:30 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTechnical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 11, 2026, or one week following Sep 11, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 277,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 10,9 k €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%-21.5pt55%
- 4.85%-25.0pt42%
- 4.88%-26.0pt31%
+6 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%+2.5pt77%
- Below 4.73%+7.0pt68%
- Below 4.70%-3.0pt51%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHISOFR for September 8, 2026
- 3.66% or Above34.3%
- Exactly 3.64%25.3%
- Exactly 3.65%24.2%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 3,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 3,7 k €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.4pt8%
- 3.5%-2.3pt5%
+6 résultats de plus
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.21% or above99%
+12 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 k €
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- US defaults on debt by 2027?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
Cryptos liées
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote 4.59% or above à 99% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? doit être résolu le 11 septembre 2026.
- Comment 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.