KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Above 64,000 MW 98%En tête parmi 19 options
Above 64,000 MW 98%Qualité du marché
54 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,3 k €
Intérêt ouvert
2,3 k €
Intérêt ouvert moyenÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
6 oct. 26, 04:55 UTC7 oct. 26, 04:55 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How high will peak electricity demand on the Texas ERCOT grid get in 2026?
KalshiWill US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill October 2026 U.S. PPI final demand rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year before 2040 in which real US GDP grows by at least 10% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsWill there be at least one year by 2030 (incl.) in which real US GDP grows by >=10% as measured from a prior peak?
Manifold MarketsJobs numbers in October 2026?
KalshiRègles
If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 71,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)
- The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 6, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above 64,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 64,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 64,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 65,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 66,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 66,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 65,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 65,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 67,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 67,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 70,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 67,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 67,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 68,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 69,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 69,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 69,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 68,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 71,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 71,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 70,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 71,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 71,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 72,500 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 72,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 73,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 73,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 72,000 MW
- If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 6, 2026 is above 72,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes.
