Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
RégulationOne-Off6moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 62.3%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète6 mai 26, 10:13 UTC31 mars 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if, by 2027-03-31, the EIA (Energy Information Administration) or Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL) publishes data indicating that US datacenter electricity consumption in calendar year 2026 exceeded 6% of total US electricity consumption.
- Source of truth (must be one of):
- EIA Annual Energy Outlook 2027 or EIA Monthly Energy Review covering calendar-2026 datacenter electricity figures
- LBL US Data Center Energy Usage Report (next publication after the 2024 report)
- Equivalent EIA or LBL public dataset showing 2026 datacenter electricity / total US electricity ratio
- If neither EIA nor LBL has published 2026 data by 2027-03-31, market resolves based on the most recent EIA / LBL projection that explicitly projects calendar-2026, with consumption exceeding 6% of total = YES.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 62% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026? doit être résolu le 31 mars 2027.
- Comment Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if, by 2027-03-31, the EIA (Energy Information Administration) or Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBL) publishes data indicating that US datacenter electricity consumption in calendar year 2026 exceeded 6% of total US electricity consumption.