Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 65%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète28 mai 26, 04:24 UTC31 déc. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Anthropic cover costs of electricity price increases from its data centers before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill at least three more U.S. states impose special electricity tariffs on data centers before Jan 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Maine enact a law restricting large data centers?
KalshiWill data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
Manifold MarketsNumber of data centers in Pennsylvania this year?
KalshiGoogle x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if an official report from the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), the Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), or the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) states that data centers consumed more than 10.0% of total U.S. electricity usage (or retail sales, consumption, or grid demand) during the calendar year 2028.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details:
- Primary Source of Truth: Reports such as the LBNL/DOE Report on U.S. Data Center Energy Use (available at energy.gov) or the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook / Electric Power Annual (available at eia.gov) covering the calendar year 2028.
- Calculation Fallback: If the report does not explicitly state a final percentage but provides both the U.S. data center electricity consumption (in TWh or BkWh) and total U.S. electricity consumption/sales (in TWh or BkWh) for 2028, the percentage will be calculated as: $$\text{Percentage} = \left(\frac{\text{U.S. Data Center Consumption}}{\text{Total U.S. Electricity Consumption}}\right) \times 100$$
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 65% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will data centers consume more than 10% of US electricity usage by EOY 2028? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria