Who will leave Trump's Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?
1.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlection2a
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Pete Hegseth · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Pete Hegseth 62.5%En tête parmi 3 options
Pete Hegseth 62.5%Qualité du marché
55 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,7 €
Intérêt ouvert
3,3 k $US
Intérêt ouvert moyenAchat / Vente
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Pete HegsethÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
9 nov. 26, 21:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Pete Hegseth
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will leave Trump's Cabinet next?
KalshiWho will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
PolymarketWill Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term?
Manifold MarketsWho leaves the Trump administration first: Rubio or Hegseth?
PolymarketHow many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?
PolymarketWhich Trump Cabinet members will remain in place by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If Pete Hegseth is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersBloomberg NewsThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalPoliticoAxiosSemaforABCCBSNBCCNNFox NewsMSNBCThe InformationBBC NewsThe GuardianABC News AustraliaSouth China Morning PostCBC
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. The first official is the one whose announcement or departure comes first after Issuance. If a single announcement covers both named officials, the market will resolve to 1 / N where N is the number of named officials covered by that announcement. Leaving means ceasing to be Secretary of State, for Marco Rubio, or Secretary of Defense, for Pete Hegseth, by resignation, firing, removal or a move to another post; a change in the name of the office is not leaving. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, a temporary leave or recusal, being considered for another position, and impeachment without removal do NOT count. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does NOT count, including a statement that he will not serve in the next administration. No officials will be added to this event. None resolves to Yes if neither named official leaves or announces he will leave his position before Jan 20, 2029. Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Pete Hegseth
- If Pete Hegseth is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of Defense after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Marco Rubio
- If Marco Rubio is the first of the two officials named in this event to leave, or announce he will leave, his position as Secretary of State after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- None
- If neither of the two officials named in this event leaves, or announces he will leave, his position after Issuance and before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.