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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. US Politics
  3. Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland?

7.0% (24h)One-OffUS PoliticsGéopolitique6mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before 2027
Before 2027 16%-7.0%
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0,3 €

Liquidité

72,6 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

16.0% / 21.0%

Spread

31.3%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes

14 janv. 26, 22:001 janv. 27, 15:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Before 202716%

Règles

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
  • Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
  • Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
  • Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,780.31+2.02%EthereumETH$1,655.21+1.33%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.22%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+1.13%XRPXRP$1.11+0.05%BNBBNB$596.56+1.62%

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Règles

If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S.
  • Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
  • Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
  • Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.