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Données au 22 sept. 2026, 02:35 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 20, 2029 45%
Qualité du marché
48 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
7,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
8.0% / 12.0%
Écart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
14 janv. 26, 22:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump recognize Taiwan?
KalshiWill the US recognize Somaliland before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before the video game Grand Theft Auto 6 is released?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
PolymarketRègles
If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:White House
- This could include: opening a U.S. embassy with Somaliland, accepting an ambassador from Somaliland, including the entity as an independent country in U.S. Department of State country lists, or signing a formal treaty, bilateral agreement, or communique that explicitly identifies Somaliland as an independent and sovereign state.
- Merely acknowledging a governing authority exists, without recognizing its authority, is insufficient to resolve the market to Yes.
- Establishing a consulate or liaison office without the formal status and language of recognition does not qualify.
- Trade offices, cultural centers, or other non-embassy missions are insufficient.
- Participation alongside the entity in international conferences, humanitarian aid missions, or multilateral forums does not in itself constitute recognition as a sovereign state.
Marchés ouverts
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+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Volume 24h
- 821,9 k €
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- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump recognize Somaliland? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 20, 2029 à 45% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump recognize Somaliland? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump recognize Somaliland? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the United States explicitly and formally recognizes Somaliland as a sovereign state independent from any previously recognized country after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, the market resolves to Yes.