PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 90%+0.7pt
Qualité du marché
66 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
9,9 €
Liquidité
12,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
9.3% / 9.8%
Écart
0.5 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
18
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
26 déc. 25, 19:41 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump recognize Somaliland?
KalshiWill Trump recognize Taiwan?
KalshiWill Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before the video game Grand Theft Auto 6 is released?
Manifold MarketsWill the US recognize Somaliland before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Ethiopia recognize Somaliland before 2028?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify.
- Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? ?
- Polymarket cote No à 90% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.