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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Iowa Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

8.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueUS PoliticsÉlection11mo
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Josh Turek, 20-25%
Josh Turek, 20-25% 1%-8.0%
En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche

28 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

77,6 €

Liquidité

157,4 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

1.0% / 3.0%

Spread

200.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

2 juin 26, 19:003 juin 27, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Josh Turek, 20-25%1%

PolymarketÉgalement disponible sur Polymarket

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Iowa Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

33.1%Fermés
Turek 20–30%
Turek 20–30%
+0.8%99%
Other
Other
50%
Turek <10%
Turek <10%
+33.1%37%

+3 résultats de plus

40 • Faible qualitéSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total4,5 k €
Volume 24h0 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Règles

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

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Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

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66,5 €
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South Carolina Republican Governor primary margin of victory? (1st Round)

46 €
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Maine Democratic Governor primary: margin of victory (final round)

38,9 €
Shenna Bellows wins: 20%KalshiKALSHI

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Règles

If the margin of victory for Josh Turek in the 2026 Iowa Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 5%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Josh Turek minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Josh Turek minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Josh Turek if Josh Turek wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Josh Turek loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Josh Turek wins, or the electoral votes received by Josh Turek minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Josh Turek does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.