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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

14.0% (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1a
KalshiKalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9% 22%+14.0%
En tête parmi 13 options
Qualite du marche

44 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

106,7 €

Liquidité

108,2 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

21.0% / 22.0%

Spread

4.8%

Spread modéré
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

8 juin 26, 17:304 août 27, 14:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%22%

Règles

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,909.82+2.43%EthereumETH$1,659.82+1.79%SolanaSOL$65.29+1.68%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.53%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$596.84+1.85%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For raw votes: the total votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the total votes received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Abdul El-Sayed if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the candidate/party/option that finishes first if Abdul El-Sayed loses.
  • For electoral votes: the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the second-most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed wins, or the electoral votes received by Abdul El-Sayed minus the electoral votes received by the candidate/party/option with the most electoral votes if Abdul El-Sayed does not.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.